EMA: Blu-ray movie sales to surpass DVD in 2012

2012 fellas...
will my PS3 be replaced by PS4 by then...let's hope not

-JS

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[Post edited by Jedi_Soljah on Jun 24, 2008 - CDT 1:06 PM]

Sony released the PS3 in 2006 and has on many occasions said it will not be replaced for another 10 years.

However, they have also said that rumble, motion sensitive controllers and online gaming would not be important in their next-gen (The PS3 at that time) console. Look what happened

Knowing my luck the PS4 (or whatever it will be called) probably won't be backwards compatible with anything...


-JS

Will people NEED Blu Ray? That's what matters...and right now, no one I know needs it. Some have it, but save for some big releases, no one buys Blu over DVD. I think that report fails.

I'm really not in the mood to get involved in a heated discussion, certanly it's not my intent, but i'll like to point that any prediction, analysis or study that makes reference to gross sales numbers only, is inacurate since it depends on the product's prices and rate of consumption.

This same case applies when comparing high U.S. theater box office gross numbers, for movies released in recent years, against similar gross numbers for movies released decades ago. If you account that today a summer movie is released at 4,000 theaters, with an average US$7 ticket price, certanly theaters in the late 70's, 80's and 90's sold a lot more tickets, to achieve similar U.S. gross numbers than movies today, when in the late 70's and early 80's a summer movie was released at 1,000 theaters, with an average US$2-3 ticket price, or up to 3,000 theaters with an average US$5 ticket price in the 90's.

During 2007, HD discs accounted for barely over US$260 million in sales, and standard DVD sales amounted to nearly US$16 billion, yet an accurate analysis would be that 6.7 million HD discs (HD-DVD and Blu-ray) were sold, if you consider both gross sales and discs sold, this would result in an average US$38 per disc, yet 1.6 billion DVD discs were sold, which again results in an average US$10 per disc, both cases in the U.S. during 2007.

Therefore when making an analysis solely on U.S. gross sales numbers, without considering how many discs (or movie tickets) were sold, and average prices in which they were sold, then it's an inaccurate analysis which leads to a misleading interpretation.

After all it's just a prediction that it may or may not occur, since nobody can foresee how much a Blu-ray or DVD disc will cost, and how many Blu-ray and DVD discs will be sold by 2012, or how will the growth of online movie services will influence the final result, but at least they were wise enough, not to make absurd predictions for 2009 like others did.

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[Post edited by genbar dardren on Jun 24, 2008 - CDT 6:05 PM]

Hopefully it is before Dec 21st 2012 cause that is the end of the Mayan Calendar (and sadly, the end of the world).

Well it definitely needs to happen before 2050. That's when the world officially runs out of gas.

hopefully i have a solar powered flyn car by 2050

:

Quote:
Sony released the PS3 in 2006 and has on many occasions said it will not be replaced for another 10 years.

However, they have also said that rumble, motion sensitive controllers and online gaming would not be important in their next-gen (The PS3 at that time) console. Look what happened

lol

On the pos4, SOny will say that games arent important. or play a big role!

well i own both consoles
and in the last 12 months,thee greatest gaming experience i have had is with MGS4,nothing the 360 has even touches that game....kudos where due......i aint no fanboy aswell,or i would only own one console